Friday, March 30, 2007

Carbon use and human rights - putting climate change into a Christian perspective

Climate change is not far from the news headlines with the general consensus being that global warming must be stopped or even reversed in order to save the planet. But what is the truth about global warming, and what should, or can be done to stop it?

The full article can be read here.

Conclusions

The evidence for man made global warming is equivocal, but it is considered likely here that a growing and developing global human population is having some impact on global temperatures. Another cause may be solar changes. But evidence from the fossil record shows that carbon dioxide levels and the average global temperature were significantly higher in the past, and in such a climate the environment thrived with an abundance of life throughout the ecosystem. Environmentalists need to address this evidence from the fossil record, which at present is largely ignored.

It can be shown that higher carbon dioxide levels lead to higher primary production and therefore higher crop yields with benefit to the global economy and global ecosystem. The natural environment is shown to have adapted to climate change in the past and this is true for whatever time frame is applied to the fossil record. The current increase in levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide fall within historic levels and should not be considered unnatural. But creationists recognise that the climate is now markedly different and direct comparisons with the past are problematic due to likely differences in the way the atmosphere responds to changes in carbon dioxide levels today compared to the pre-Flood period.

The main problems to address then are the ways in which climate change will affect human society. The greatest risk is that climate change may cause some major problems around the world with more severe and unpredictable weather, together with the risk of changes in sea level, but the latter is considered an unrealistic risk at present. However, by tackling the problem of global warming by forcing developing nations to slow or stop their development will have a negative impact on poverty reduction in the poorest nations. Developing nations have a right and duty to utilise their natural resources and reduce poverty, but within environmental constraints. Trying to restrict access to natural resources may well hinder the social development of some of the poorest countries, which would be morally wrong.

Calls to reduce carbon use are not based on the reality of historic carbon dioxide levels, nor are they based on the reality and needs of present day human population growth, but seem to have more to do with the ‘hot air’ of environmentalists and politicians keen to jump on the latest bandwagon.

The response to these social problems then should be to spend more on the development of mitigation strategies especially as a growing global population and growing prosperity will provide the resources to help protect against natural weather related disasters. A good proportion of the cost of this should be born by the developed nations and there is a need for fairness in use of natural resources and in terms of the cost of protection against adverse weather and climate. If there are effective ways of reducing human dependence on fossil carbon-based fuels without excessive taxation and damage to the global economy then these should be implemented, with such technological know how also transferred to the developing nations for maximum benefit.

Thursday, March 22, 2007

Stuart Kauffman admits that biological complexity defies scientific explanations

There are some quotes from the complexity evolutionist Stuart Kauffman (2004, Prolegomenon to a General Biology, in Debating Design by Dembski and Ruse p166 & 172) that are worth remembering next time someone says ID and Creationism are just pseudo-science. Kauffman recognises complexity, but says nature is 'self organised' and he hopes that science will develop a fourth law of thermodynamics to account for such apparent 'self organisation,' as a naturalistic explanation for complexity. Kauffman is here assuming the truth of the thing he wishes to prove, and Behe's work on Irreducible Complexity is a direct challenge to Kauffman.

Kauffman says "The hoped-for fourth law of thermodynamics for such self-constructing systems will be that they tend to maximinse their dimensionality, the number of types of events that can happen next."p172

However, the Universal Probability Bound as highlighted by William Dembski shows that there are universal limits to 'what can happen next.' Many biological systems exceed the Universal Probability Bound by massive margins.

Kauffman perhaps recognises the problem. He comments; "And astonishingly, we need stories. If as I suggest, we cannot prestate the configuration space, variables, laws, initial and boundary conditions of a bioshpere, if we cannot foretell a biopshere, we can, nevertheless, tell the stories as it unfolds. Biospheres demand their Shakespeares as well as their Newtons. We will have to rethink what science is itself. And C.P.Snow's "two cultures," the humanities and science may find an unexpected, inevitable union.' p172

Kauffman says "We do not understand evolution...The strange thing about evolution is that everyone thinks he understands it."p166

Wednesday, March 14, 2007

The appliance of science

This is an excellent article by an environmental scientists on climate change in the Guardian.
"Politicians and the public look to scientists to explain the causes of climate change and whether it can be tackled - and they are queuing up to deliver. But, asks Mike Hulme, are we being given the whole picture? Wednesday March 14, 2007


"But there are two other characteristics of science that are also important when it comes to deploying its knowledge for the benefit of public policy and society: that scientific knowledge is always provisional knowledge, and that it can be modified through its interaction with society."

Wednesday, March 07, 2007

Interview with Creationist Kurt Wise

Creationist Kurt Wise has given an interview for BP news. Wise earned his Ph.D. from Harvard University in paleontology, studying under the late evolutionist Stephen J. Gould. As a result of Wise's commitment to Creationism, Richard Dawkins has called Wise “the greatest disappointment he knows in modern science.” That sounds like a badge of honour to me.

In the interview, Wise comments that evolutionists are motivated by fear in rejecting Creationism because belief in a Creator would make them accountable to God. Wise comments;

“If it’s true that there was a creation, then you realize that means there’s someone in control...And if there was a flood -- in other words, a creator who actually judged this creation -- that means we’re in big trouble. So I think there’s every reason why an evolutionist would be very frightened of creationists advocating creationism.”

Wise makes a very good point here - it reveals that the justification for evolution is not based on a purely rational and objective set of scientific criteria, but is based on an emotional response to a theological premise that God exists.

In terms of Creation and repeatable science, Wise commented that “... [Scientists] cannot deduce anything about a creation...[T]hey’ve never seen a creation before -- not a creation out of nothing of the universe. Their experience is limited to what they see and hear in the present. With those kinds of limitations, they couldn’t possibly deduce the right thing about the beginning of things.”

Wise also commented that evolution is itself a deeply religious belief. “Science drips with theology. You cannot do science without making theological assumptions.”

The full interview can be read here.

Creationist Kurt Wise critiques secular science on program